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Thursday, July 25, 2024

Cruz again short on facts

Republican presidential candidate, Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas speaks during a campaign stop at the Freedom Country Store, Tuesday, Jan. 19, 2016, in Freedom, N.H. (AP Photo/John Minchillo)
Republican presidential candidate, Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas speaks during a campaign stop in Freedom, N.H. (AP Photo/John Minchillo)

Answering a question this week about climate change during a campaign stop in New Hampshire, Ted Cruz was worlds apart from the scientific consensus that sees a world that is warming because of human activity.

Some of the GOP presidential candidate’s claims and how they compare with the facts:

CRUZ: “The satellites that actually measure the temperature, that we’ve launched into the air to measure the temperature, they have recorded no significant warming whatsoever for the last 18 years.”

THE FACTS: Scientists, including those who work with the very satellite measuring system that Cruz refers to, say he’s misusing the satellite data. They do show warming, albeit relatively little over the period Cruz cites, says Carl Mears, senior scientist for Remote Sensing Systems, which produces the data that Cruz refers to.

But by starting his comparison period in 1997, Cruz has selected a time when temperatures spiked because of an El Nino weather pattern. Starting at an artificially high point minimizes the rate of increase since then, Mears said, adding, “If you start riding your bike at the top of a big hill, you always go downhill, at least for a while.”

More important is what’s measured at the Earth’s surface, where people live, Mears said. Those ground-based systems show a greater degree of warming.

The long-term trend that Mears’ satellites show is about 0.7-degree warming since 1979, when satellites started measuring temperature. Ground-based monitors show a warming of about 1 degree during the same period. And 1979 was not among the top five hottest or coldest years in the 36 years of records.


CRUZ: “John Kerry said in 2009 the polar ice caps will be entirely melted by 2013. … Has anyone noticed the polar ice caps are still there? In fact, there was an expedition that went down to Antarctica to prove that the polar ice caps were melting … (the ship) got stuck in the ice because in fact the polar ice caps have increased. They are larger than they were. So not only was Kerry incorrect, he was spectacularly absolutely opposite the facts.”

THE FACTS: Kerry was talking about the ice cap at the North Pole, and it’s true that it hasn’t melted as he predicted. But in pointing that out, Cruz distorts the facts by referring to a ship that got stuck in Antarctic ice a world away near the South Pole.

Scientists do say it’s only a matter of decades before the sea ice around the North Pole will be melted during the summer months, and some countries’ navies are already exploring the area for quicker sea routes. Scientific measurements in Antarctica — where thick ice sheets sit atop land, not floating on the ocean as in the Arctic — show the ice sheets are diminishing on one side while growing on the other. But the fact that a ship got stuck in ice in the Antarctica doesn’t tell us anything about the phenomenon.


CRUZ: “If you’re a big-government politician, if you want more power, climate change is the perfect pseudo-scientific theory … because it can never, ever, ever be disproven.”

THE FACTS: Far from being pseudo-science, climate change is the consensus view among real scientists.

“The climate is terribly complicated, but it is now remarkably well understood because so many people have made such great efforts at developing sensors and deploying sensors and making sense of what the sensors say,” says Rush Holt, CEO of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, the world’s largest general scientific society, and a former Democratic congressman. “It’s not just a few fanciful models on a computer, there are real data now. This is a highly developed science.”


CRUZ: “Thirty, 40 years ago a whole bunch of liberal politicians, a bunch of scientists, were advocating, they said we were facing global cooling. We’re going to have another ice age. And their solution to this was massive government control of the economy, the energy sector and every aspect of our lives. But then the facts and science stood in the way. It turned out the Earth wasn’t cooling.”

THE FACTS: Actually, global warming was more of a concern than cooling back in that time. From 1965 to 1979, 44 peer-reviewed scientific studies found the world was warming, 20 found no trend and only seven found cooling, according to a review of literature published in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society in 2008.


Borenstein reported from Washington.


Copyright © 2016 Capitol Hill Blue

Copyright  © 2016 The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved

6 thoughts on “Cruz again short on facts”

  1. It’s a long list of data from multiple sources of earth matter, read scientifically and pointing right back at the guy in the mirror. Unless of course we’re all vampires..

  2. Well Keith, one fact you ignore, the rate of change in the last 100 -150 years has never been experienced before. As born out by scientific study of tree rings, weather records over the last 150 or so years, scientific study of geologic records, glacial records, air trapped in these fast disappearing glaciers, study of Arctic and Antarctic (Ice,sediment, trapped air), study of human remains. ocean sediment records, and so on, and so on, and so on.

  3. The only “snake oil” is that now being offered up by those same so-called “scientists” who have yet to get a 5-day weather forecast even reasonably accurate more than half the time.

    The ‘truth” is that the Earth has gone through MULTIPLE periods of warming and cooling in its 4.5 billion year history. And this was happening LONG before man even walked on the planet. Remember, some 10,000 years ago, fully half of the North American continent was covered in an ice sheet over a mile thick…an ice sheet that’s now all but gone. Global warming, indeed!

    And then, there are those tropical fossils that are still being unearthed… in Alberta, Canada of all places.

    So, our Earth may, in fact, be warming (or cooling) at the moment. But what mankind is doing (or not doing) has very little (if anything) to do with it.

    • outstanding take on this keith but the effects of historical trends in warming or cooling, the periods you cite, took place when world population was not just minimal but a period of little if no understanding of what was happening to their environment. they were not burning millions of tons of fossil fuel or running the engines of their cars constantly stuck in traffic jams throughout the planet. they were most likely creating the heat to cook and survive the elements of weather by burning their own human waste or what ever they could find. that being stated you must be correct in your point of view that eliminates contributions by man to adversely affect global temperatures. your concept seems sound and practical since in our contemporary times we have an abundance of bull s##t readily available.

  4. Facts? What facts, one term Texas, Senator Cruz don’t need no stinking facts. He is more into cherry picking than facts.

    Besides, he is a Canadian and knows that Canada is cold.

    Go Hilary, Feel the Bern and MO in 2024.

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