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Monday, June 17, 2024

Deal leaves Iran with no path to nuclear bomb

Secretary of State John Kerry embraces EU foreign policy after UN ceremony in Geneva on new deal with Iran. (AP/Keystone,Martial Trezzini)
Secretary of State John Kerry embraces EU foreign policy after UN ceremony in Geneva on new deal with Iran. (AP/Keystone,Martial Trezzini)

Iran struck a historic deal Sunday with the United States and five other world powers, agreeing to a temporary freeze of its nuclear program in the most significant agreement between Washington and Tehran in more than three decades of estrangement.

Iranian President Hassan Rouhani endorsed the agreement, which commits Iran to curb its nuclear activities for six months in exchange for limited and gradual sanctions relief, including access to $4.2 billion from oil sales. The six-month period will give diplomats time to negotiate a more sweeping agreement.

It builds on the momentum of the public dialogue opened during September’s annual U.N. gathering, which included a 15-minute phone conversation between President Barack Obama and moderate-leaning Rouhani, who was elected in June.

The package includes freezing Iran’s ability to enrich uranium at a maximum 5 percent level, which is well below the threshold for weapons-grade material and is aimed at easing Western concerns that Tehran could one day seek nuclear arms.

Obama hailed the pact’s provisions, which include curbs on Iran’s enrichment and other projects that could be used to make nuclear arms, as key to preventing Iran from becoming a nuclear threat.

“Simply put, they cut off Iran’s most likely paths to a bomb,” he told reporters in Washington.

For Iran, keeping the enrichment program active was a critical goal. Iran’s leaders view the country’s ability to make nuclear fuel as a source of national pride and an essential part of its insistence at nuclear self-sufficiency.

Giving up too much on the enrichment program would have likely brought a storm of protest by Iranian hard-liners, who were already uneasy over the marathon nuclear talks and Rouhani’s outreach to Washington.

In a nationally broadcast speech, Rouhani said the accord recognizes Iran’s “nuclear rights” even if that precise language was kept from the final document because of Western resistance.

“No matter what interpretations are given, Iran’s right to enrichment has been recognized,” said Rouhani, who later posed with family members of nuclear scientists killed in slayings in recent years that Iran has blamed on Israel and allies.

Saying “trust is a two-way street,” Rouhani insisted that talks on a comprehensive agreement should start immediately.

Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif, who led his country’s delegation, called on both sides to see the agreement as an “opportunity to end an unnecessary crisis and open new horizons.”

But initial reaction in Israel was strongly negative. Israel’s prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, called the deal, a “historic mistake.”

Speaking to his Cabinet, Netanyahu said Sunday that Israel is not bound by the deal and reserves the right to defend itself. That is a reference to possible military action against Iran.

Netanyahu has said the international community is giving up too much to Iran, which it believes will retain the ability to produce a nuclear weapon and threaten Israel.

U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry, who joined the final negotiations along with the foreign ministers of Russia, China, France, Britain and Germany, said the pact will make U.S. allies in the Middle East, including Israel, safer reducing the threat of war.

“Agreement in Geneva,” he tweeted. “First step makes world safer. More work now.”

The deal marks a milestone between the two countries, which broke diplomatic ties 34 years ago when Iran’s Islamic revolution climaxed in the storming of the U.S. Embassy in Tehran. Since then, relations between the two countries had been frigid to hostile.

Although the deal lowered tensions between the two countries, friction points remain — notably Iran’s support of the Syrian regime of Bashar Assad. The United States also has said Iran supports terrorism throughout the region and commits widespread human rights violations.

The Geneva negotiations followed secret face-to-face talks between the U.S. and Iran over the past year, The Associated Press has learned. The discussions, held in the Persian Gulf nation of Oman and elsewhere, were kept hidden even from America’s closest allies, including its negotiating partners and Israel, until two months ago.

A White House statement said the deal limits Iran’s existing stockpiles of enriched uranium, which can be turned into the fissile core of nuclear arms.

The statement also said the accord curbs the number and capabilities of the centrifuges used to enrich and limits Iran ability to “produce weapons-grade plutonium” from a reactor in the advanced stages of construction.

The statement also said Iran’s nuclear program will be subject to “increased transparency and intrusive monitoring.”

“Taken together, these first step measures will help prevent Iran from using the cover of negotiations to continue advancing its nuclear program as we seek to negotiate a long-term, comprehensive solution that addresses all of the international community’s concerns,” said the statement.

Since it was revealed in 2003, Iran’s enrichment program has grown from a few dozen enriching centrifuges to more than 18,000 installed and more than 10,000 operating. The machines have produced tons of low-enriched uranium, which can be turned into weapons grade material.

Iran also has stockpiled almost 200 kilograms (440 pounds) of higher-enriched uranium in a form that can be converted more quickly to fissile warhead material than the low-enriched uranium. Its supply is nearly enough for one bomb.

In return for Iran’s nuclear curbs, the White House statement promised “limited, temporary, targeted, and reversible (sanctions) relief” to Iran, noting that “the key oil, banking, and financial sanctions architecture, remains in place.” And it said any limited sanctions relief will be revoked and new penalties enacted if Iran fails to meet its commitments.

Kerry said the relief offered would give Iran access to $4.2 billion from oil sales. Approximately $1.5 billion more would come from imports of gold and other precious metals, petrochemical exports and Iran’s auto sector, as well as easier access to “humanitarian transactions.”

“The core sanctions architecture … remains firmly in place through these six months, including with respect to oil and financial services,” Kerry said. He said those sanctions will result in more than $25 billion in lost oil revenues over six months.

Those conditions are being highlighted by the U.S. administration in its efforts to demonstrate that Iran is still in pain. The administration has urged Congress to hold off on any new sanctions and give the accord a chance to prove its worth.

But one influential member of Congress was quick to criticize the deal.

Rep. Ed Royce, the Republican chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, expressed “serious concerns,” saying the United States was “relieving Iran of the sanctions pressure built up over years,” while allowing Tehran to “keep the key elements of its nuclear weapons-making capacity.”

Obama hailed the deal as putting “substantial limitations” on a nuclear program that the United States and its allies fear could be turned to nuclear weapons use.

“While today’s announcement is just a first step, it achieves a great deal,” Obama said. “For the first time in nearly a decade, we have halted the progress of the Iranian nuclear program, and key parts of the program will be rolled back.”

Iran’s currency, the rial, got a small boost after news of the deal, strengthening to about 29,000 rials against the U.S. dollar, compared with about 29,950 in recent days.


Associated Press writers George Jahn and Deb Riechmann in Geneva, Julie Pace in Washington, Robert H. Reid in Berlin and Nasser Karimi in Tehran, Iran, contributed to this report.

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Copyright  © 2013 Associated Press  All Rights Reserved

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3 thoughts on “Deal leaves Iran with no path to nuclear bomb”

  1. I just heard an interesting story on NPR: Seems that Iran has exactly ONE power-generating reactor, which was built by the Russians. All the replacement fuel elements and the spent fuel reprocessing is supplied by the Russians. So why is it Iran needs to enrich any uranium at all?

    If they really want to build more reactors for generation of electricity, you would think they would want to enrich a bunch of uranium to the 5% level that modern reactors use. It also seems odd that they wanted to build only a research reactor, but no power-generating reactors.

    They certainly seem to have a bad mismatch between what they say and what they do!

    • I might suggest they don’t trust the Russians either, and would be much happier if they built one of their own. After all, the USSR has collapsed once. Who’s to say it won’t happen again?

      In order to know what they are doing in order to build a safe reactor, research is called for. Sure, it has been done before, but are you going to trust ANY documentation you receive from the same country that gave you Stuxnet?

      So no. No mismatch at all.

      Finally, so what if Iran does have a nuclear weapon? The only country with ‘The bomb’ that has ever actually used one in anger is the USA.

      Yep, some Iranians have called for the destruction of Israel. Some Americans have called for the destruction of Iraq, North Korea, Afghanistan, North Vietnam, and Iran, and other people, moreover, have acted upon those. The Iranians have not.

      So what if Iran is run by religious nutbars? So’s the USA. It’s still illegal to run for office in Texas as an atheist, and just try as Shiite or Wahabi. President Bush is born-again and Nancy Reagan consulted astrologers. Say what you will about President Obama’s favourite preachers, the point remains that he’s got one or two and regularly attends to them.

      What makes you think Iran is any less reasonable than the USA? The USA has the bomb, and is trying to stick creationism into school textbooks as science.

      Why do you think Iran with the bomb would be as likely to use one as the Russians? Or the Chinese? Or the French, British, South Africans, or even the Israelis? Even India and Pakistan haven’t yet nuked each other.

      State-sponsored terrorism? Who again was running guns to Nicaragua in exchange for selling weapons to … Iran? Who was running the drug trade and cheerfully overthrowing lawfully-elected governments in South and Central America and… Iran?

      I think I’ll shut up now.


  2. If all they wanted to do was to make fuel for power-generating reactors, they would have stopped at 5% enrichment. That is what almost all power-generating reactors run on these days. Going to 20% enrichment is MUCH more expensive (not 4 times, but more like 1000 times as expensive). The only reason to make 200 kg of 20% EU is to build a test bomb, so they can join the nuclear-armed country list, or to build a “research reactor” that can be used to transmute element into other elements. When you have one of those you can make all sorts of isotopes for industrial and medical needs. But you can also use it to transmute U-238 (depleted uranium waste from your enrichment program) into 50% fissile plutonium. That plutonium is very easy to extract and make into bombs like the Nagasaki bomb. (No centrifuges required.) And those plutonium bombs would be small enough to deliver to a target using a plane, missile, torpedo, ship container, or just driving it there in a pickup truck or delivery van.

    Any deal that lets them build their research reactor has to have UN inspectors there 7/24/365 to make sure they are not loading and unloading U-238 targets.

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